Long-time UFC color commentator Joe Rogan may be a soothsayer, at least according to him. On his podcast, the Joe Rogan Experience, featuring Tom Segura on episode #2505, he revealed exactly how and why he thought Sean Strickland would beat Khamzat Chimaev in their title fight at UFC 328 on May 9. 

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“It was an upset,” Rogan said when Segura questioned whether it was. “I thought it could happen that way… A lot of people, like Ari [Shaffir], were arguing with me on Protect Our Parks. He’s like, ‘You always say that when someone doesn’t [have] a chance. You always hype it up.’ [But] I [thought] Strickland [could] win this fight because Strickland is like insanely durable.

“He’s scary cuz he doesn’t go away. He’s not going to get tired. He doesn’t go away. He’s tough as s—t. He was abused when he was young, so he’s angry. Like he’s dangerous and he’s super skillful. Very hard to hit.”

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USA Today via Reuters

Rogan’s assessment that Sean Strickland’s win was an upset was absolutely true. Chimaev entered the fight as a -550 favorite to win. Meanwhile, Strickland was a +420 underdog. And despite those odds, ‘Tarzan’ managed to overcome Khamzat Chimaev’s takedowns and win via split decision. It made the American the only fighter to enter two title fights as a +300 or above underdog and win both times. The first one was against Israel Adesanya.

Considering Rogan’s in-depth knowledge about MMA, it’s not surprising he predicted this. However, even Joe Rogan can’t be right absolutely 100 percent of the time. According to a 2022 report from MMA Mania, the podcaster claimed that he used to bet on MMA fights to make some extra cash. And he used to have an 84 percent success rate. That’s not bad. 

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But what made Rogan especially impressed by Strickland’s win was something else. After Strickland became the new UFC middleweight champion, he revealed that he had injured his shoulder while training for the fight. While this may have come as a bit of a shock for everyone else, to Rogan, it wasn’t news. 

“He fought in one with a blown-out shoulder,” Rogan added. “He f—ked his shoulder up like the week of the fight… I could tell when he was warming up before the fight started… Like he was warming up, doing this, and he kept doing this. And that’s what you do when your arm hurts… [That’s how he] went to a world title fight against the scariest guy in the division and beat him with one arm.”

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While Rogan’s prediction came true, he has now made a scary one about Chimaev. 

Joe Rogan is concerned about Khamzat Chimaev competing at RAF after his loss to Sean Strickland

After suffering the first loss of his MMA career against Sean Strickland, Khamzat Chimaev is preparing for an unusual return to competition. The former UFC middleweight champion is set to face Dillon Danis in a wrestling match at RAF 10 on June 13, but not everyone is convinced it’s the right move. And that someone is Joe Rogan. 

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During a recent podcast, Joe Rogan admitted he is worried about the risks involved with competing in grappling events so soon after a major setback. Rogan explained that injuries can happen at any moment, recalling a recent bout where Gleison Tibau was fighting, and he took his opponent down, and blew out his knee. 

“So that could happen to f—ing anybody…,” Rogan said about Chimaev.
“Wrestlers blow their knees out all the time.” 

Despite Rogan’s fears, Khamzat Chimaev has no other option but to fight, since he has signed a contract. And unlike Rogan’s prediction, the fight could act as a massive morale booster right after Chimaev’s devastating loss.

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‘Borz’ is fuming after losing his unbeaten streak and wants a rematch next. Though he claimed at first he would move up to light heavyweight, his sights are now set on evening the odds against Strickland, preferably in a title rematch in Abu Dhabi.

The Strickland camp has reportedly rejected their request and is focused on recovery. The two-time champion even said that he would respect the rankings and fight the rightful contender, Nassourdine Imavov, next. Chimaev, Sean said, needs to put together a few wins before he can fight for the title again. We’ll have to wait and see if the UFC matchmakers pay the same respect to the rankings that Strickland does.

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Sudeep Sinha

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Sudeep Sinha is a Senior Boxing Writer at EssentiallySports with over two years of experience covering the science at the ES RingSide Desk. Known for sharp fight-night coverage and detailed analysis, Sudeep has become one of the desk’s leading boxing minds. His work has been featured on major platforms such as Sports Illustrated, Daily Mail, and Yahoo Sports, where he covers everything from amateur boxing developments to high-profile controversies like Ryan Garcia career arc. Sudeep balances his professional writing career with a personal passion for reading, cycling, and lively debates about boxing match-ups and trends on social media. He takes pride in delivering engaging stories that resonate with both hardcore boxing enthusiasts and casual fans alike, providing clear insights into fighter strategies, training, and the evolving dynamics of the sport.

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