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via Imago

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A few years ago, a late first-round pick landing a $5 million guaranteed deal made headlines. Think of Bengals safety Daxton Hill, who received a signing bonus of $5.66 million. That’s a thing of the past now. With the cap exploding, agents playing chess, and teams like Denver in full rebuild mode, rookie contracts are starting to look like veteran paydays. And if there’s one move that screams new era in Denver, it’s what Sean Payton just did with the rookie DB Jahdae Barron!

Taken 20th overall, he signed a deal just days ago. But the deal is so massive that it would’ve made jaws drop a few years ago. Good for the Broncos and Barron, but this isn’t just about them. Perhaps this is an indication of something bigger in the NFL.

In a recent episode of Locked On Broncos, the host, Sayre Bedinger, gave us a glimpse into Barron’s rookie contract and what it means for the NFL. He said, “The salary cap going up means that a percentage of the salary cap in terms of, or at least a percentage of the overall pie for what these rookies are getting with their signing bonus, their, you know, first-year cash, all those sorts of things matter. And when you look at the last couple of years, the past two 20th overall picks before Jahdae Barron, you had Jackson Smith back in 2023, and Troy Fautanu (2024), those guys both received in the realm of 7.3-7.5 million in terms of signing bonus. That money was guaranteed to them in year one. That was part of their year 1 cash flow.

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“Well, now that the salary cap has continued to increase and other factors are part of it, Jahdae Barron ended up getting 9.8 million as a signing bonus… And that’s significant because that’s a $2 million boost from what we had previously seen in years past. That’s over half the contract, or it’s, you know, an $18 million deal where you’re getting $9.8 million upfront in terms of a signing bonus.”

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Well, Bedinger is correct. In fact, in March, the league announced the new salary cap: $279.2 million per club. That is $23.8 million increase from last year’s $255.4 million and is also the latest record high. Since 2018 ($177 million), the cap has risen more than $100 million (and also a $200 million rise since 2005). The only thing that briefly reduced it was a COVID-induced downtick in 2021. Perhaps Barron’s higher pay can be attributed to the rising salary cap.

In today’s NFL, seeing that kind of jump for a defensive back (especially a rookie) is almost unheard of. Not long ago, contract slots were practically set in stone. Now? It’s getting unpredictable fast. And Sean Payton just walked into camp like a gunslinger, pen in one hand, chequebook in the other.

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The Broncos clearly think they’ve got a sure thing. Betting on Barron to start from Day 1, and judging by the contract, Sean Payton is backing that belief with real money. But this is more than a simple token of trust. It’s something that ripples across the entire league. Imagine the first-round rookies next year. They have the leverage now. So, what does it really mean for the NFL and the rookie market? Well, the front offices won’t be too happy with this market revamp.

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Is the NFL’s pay scale for a rookie getting a makeover?

Jahdae Barron’s deal isn’t some one-off headline; It’s part of a bigger shift in how NFL teams are spending. And if you were wondering why the first-round picks were taking so much time to sign those contracts, we just got the answer. They were trying to snatch up more and more guaranteed money. And players like Jahdae Barron? They are the reference. That $2 million jump is a massive leap in rookie comp structure and a reflection of a cap spike teams can no longer ignore.

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And it’s not just the first-round guys cashing in. Houston lit the fuse when they gave second-round wideout Jayden Higgins (34th-round pick!) a fully guaranteed deal. That move didn’t go unnoticed. As per Bedinger, agents caught on to that: “Then you have agents… They’re talking to teams and they’re thinking, ‘Well, if that guy’s getting a fully guaranteed deal, my guy should get a fully guaranteed deal, right?'” Teams got cautious, players stood their ground, and negotiations dragged well into July.

The message is loud and clear: Second-round picks aren’t settling either. With the 2025 salary cap soaring past $260 million, rookies are showing up ready to cash in. They’re not just happy to be here—they’ve done the homework, know their worth, and they’re making sure front offices do too. What do you think?

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