June 4, 2023. Enjoy Illinois 300, Gateway. Kyle Busch started on the pole, survived a swarm of late-race restarts, and muscled his way to victory lane. This was his third win of the season, and for many, a new successful era at Richard Childress Racing. But nobody could have predicted that we wouldn’t be seeing Busch in victory lane since then. With the 2026 season arriving and the win column still frozen, the pressure around Busch is intensifying. And Kevin Harvick, never one to sugarcoat reality, has made it clear: the time for talk is over.
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Harvick sounds the alarm over Kyle Busch’s form
Kevin Harvick didn’t mince words when discussing Kyle Busch’s ongoing slump, emphasizing just how much the sport needs him back in Victory Lane. “Kyle Busch winning, for our sport, will be massive.”
He understands the ripple effect a Kyle Busch comeback could have. Not just for RCR, but for NASCAR as a whole. Busch sits at 63 career Cup wins, ninth on the all-time list, a future Hall of Famer by every measure. And yet, he is now mired in a winless streak stretching more than 90 races and two complete seasons. For a driver of his caliber, it’s an unthinkable drought.
Harvick didn’t stop there. In a striking moment of honesty, he voiced a concern many fans have whispered: “And I hate to see where it’s at right now for him because whenever he does retire, you don’t want that legacy to go out like Jimmie Johnson did. Where you go three years without winning a race, and to me, I’m rooting for Kyle Busch.”
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The comparison to Johnson is sobering. The seven-time champion’s Cup Series winless streak has grown to more than 144 races, dating back to June 2017. Johnson stepped away from full-time competition after 2020, making occasional starts since, but has still never returned to Victory Lane. No doubt his record remains legendary. However, the late-career drought undeniably softened the final chapter.
Harvick doesn’t want to see “The Rowdy” (one of the sport’s most talented, polarizing, and influential drivers) fall into that same pattern. And that’s why his message feels more like a warning than a criticism. Kyle Busch’s legacy is too big, too vibrant, and too important to fade quietly. He needs a win, not just for himself, but to end his career on a high.
Speaking about his career, Kyle Busch himself isn’t sugarcoating anything about where it stands or where it may be headed.
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Busch sets a deadline
The driver of the No. 8 Chevy has circled a very specific moment on the calendar as the deciding checkpoint for his future: the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. For Busch, Memorial Day weekend isn’t just another race. It’s the line in the sand.
“It’s going to take a little bit of time before you get a sense of where you’re at,” Busch admitted. “I’ve always kind of said, once you get to the Coke 600, that’s sort of like where you’ll fall in the season and where your points are and where you kind of stack up.”
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LOUDON, NH – JULY 17: Kyle Busch 8 Richard Childress Racing Lenovo Chevrolet chats with his crew before the Crayon 301 on July 17, 2023, at New Hampshire Motor Speedway in Loudon, New Hampshire. Photo by Fred Kfoury III/Icon Sportswire AUTO: JUL 17 NASCAR, Motorsport, USA Cup Series Crayon 301 EDITORIAL USE ONLY Icon482230717143201
Busch believes that by late May, the early-season chaos, new setups, fluctuating performance, and unpredictable track conditions will have settled enough to reveal the true competitive order. He’s not interested in false optimism or misleading early results. He wants clarity.
For a veteran with nearly two decades of Cup Series experience, that midpoint snapshot matters. Historically, Busch notes, teams don’t drastically change their trajectory after the Coke 600.
“You can go about one or two places higher or lower than where you’re at currently. I would say that would be a good time to start judging.”
But this isn’t just Kyle Busch analyzing performance trends. This is Kyle Busch contemplating his future. After a frustrating 2025 season where staying playoff-relevant was a constant uphill fight, Busch knows the stakes. If RCR doesn’t show real progress by June, the implications are bigger than a bad year.
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